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  3. Bitcoin risks losing $70K as Strategy's STRC slips below $100

Bitcoin corre el riesgo de perder los 70.000 dólares, ya que el valor de STRC de Strategy ha caído por debajo de los 100 dólares

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    Bitcoin
    BTCUSD
    rose 2.66% to around $75,800 on Monday after Strategy disclosed a $2.54 billion purchase, the company’s third biggest ever, and equivalent to about 2.5 months of new BTC supply.

    However, several indicators suggest the rally may fizzle out.
    cointelegraph_a4c89ca06094b-bea8204af9ec91f3a52a8db40fe33e0f-resized.webp
    Key takeaways:

    Poor macro conditions can spark BTC price pullback if Strategy’s buying slows.

    Bitcoin’s technical setup hints at a potential dip toward $67,000–$69,000.

    Strategy may halt BTC purchases this week

    Strategy funded most of its latest 34,164 BTC purchase through its preferred stock, Stretch (STRC), which generated over $2.17 billion through at-the-market share sales between April 13 and April 19.
    cointelegraph_a4c89ca06094b-5aa58b25196fe1fb6594abaa24e151b0-resized.webp
    That accounted for roughly 86% of the total amount spent, while sales of its Class A common stock, MSTR, added another $366 million.

    STRC lets Strategy raise cash for Bitcoin when it trades at or above $100. Stronger prices mean easier fundraising and more BTC buying. In 2026, STRC enabled the purchases of 77,000 BTC, ten times more than all the ETFs combined, per River data.
    cointelegraph_a4c89ca06094b-24a4ac715cb71c5b0b3744ebbb78f6fd-resized.webp
    But STRC has been trading below its $100 par value since April 15, which may limit Strategy’s ability to keep raising cash to purchase more Bitcoin this week.
    cointelegraph_a4c89ca06094b-10b82fa8f2d7da28705624bcb5290304-resized.webp
    In past episodes, pauses in Strategy’s Bitcoin purchases have coincided with BTC price slumps.

    For instance, on average, BTC’s price has dipped by roughly 30% when STRC traded below its $100 par value.
    cointelegraph_a4c89ca06094b-35f815ac112ef6cdd80d86cdf56c45d0-resized.webp
    A 30% dip will take Bitcoin’s price to $53,000 when measured from current levels.
    cointelegraph_a4c89ca06094b-e1c00bfafbaf9f1c65744b41cadda2f7-resized.webp
    The halt appears alongside weakening risk sentiment, with US stock indexes falling amid doubts over the US–Iran peace deal.
    cointelegraph_a4c89ca06094b-d8c91bb77412b2004758ad79fb9d775b-resized.webp
    US President Donald Trump said it was “highly unlikely” he would extend the two-week truce if no agreement is reached before it expires on Wednesday.

    Any signs of an extended Middle East conflict may weigh on BTC’s prices.

    BTC flag pullback hints at $67,000–$69,000

    Bitcoin’s current chart structure shows classic flag consolidation, with price now drifting toward the pattern’s lower boundary. This setup raises the risk of a pullback toward the $67,000–$69,000 region in April, if support gives way.
    cointelegraph_a4c89ca06094b-035531fd3e2bfe22376bbc88a6b65020-resized.webp
    At the same time, downside may remain limited as the 20-day (green) and 50-day (red) EMAs continue to act as dynamic support levels. Holding above these averages would signal underlying demand, increasing the chances of a rebound.

    If that happens, BTC could attempt a breakout above the flag’s upper trend line, effectively invalidating the bearish setup.

    Such a move would open the door for a recovery toward the 200-day EMA (blue), currently near $82,750.

    As Cointelegraph reported, breaking the resistance near $78,000 is now a top priority for the bulls.
    source: https://www.tradingview.com/news/cointelegraph:a4c89ca06094b:0-bitcoin-risks-losing-70k-as-strategy-s-strc-slips-below-100/

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